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Modelling universal access​

Published on 09 December 2022

If the current pace of electrification is maintained, universal access will not be accomplished. By using futures modelling, UNDP and the Pardee Center for International Futures (University of Denver) assessed the current state of electricity around the globe and the synergies of achieving SDG7 targets on several development indicators. Country and regional-level results can be explored below.

    Explore the forecasts for different indicators, countries and regions from 2020 to 2050.

    See how different metrics are correlated with each other and compare how this differs between geographies and scenarios.

    Select the countries and regions of interest to see how they compare on a specific metric between the three scenarios

    Note: The cost of electricity access is calculated using estimates for costs of maintenance and for new construction, following the methodology used by Fay (2001) and Fay and Yepes (2003). The model holds unit costs constant across countries, time, and for different levels of infrastructure. See report (published shortly) for more details on the methodology.

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